Contestano vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CTS
1 - 1
CDA
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
MAS
2 - 1
CTS
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CTS
3 - 0
UDC
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAT
1 - 0
CTS
49%
24%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CTS
2 - 2
DEN
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
PEG
70%
19%
10%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
PEG
4 - 2
CAS
38%
25%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
UEG
1 - 0
PEG
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CDA
0 - 3
PEG
47%
24%
29%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PEG
1 - 3
MAS
14%
22%
64%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | -1 |