CD Celmig vs Hogar-70 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Celmig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 4
CDC
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CDC
10 - 3
CDE
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
INT
6 - 0
CDC
65%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PEL
1 - 6
CDC
27%
20%
53%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
3 - 3
SEV
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hogar-70
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
HOG
3 - 3
MBP
29%
20%
51%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ESA
0 - 2
HOG
38%
21%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
HOG
3 - 2
CDE
51%
20%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MCF
6 - 1
HOG
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HOG
2 - 0
CHA
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |