Catí vs Villafames analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CIN
0 - 2
CAT
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAT
2 - 3
ESP
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAT
28%
22%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CAT
3 - 0
VIL
86%
9%
4%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CAT
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 2
VIL
28%
23%
50%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
EFC
52%
20%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIN
1 - 3
VIL
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAN
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
POB
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |