Casinos vs Atl. Villar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+521%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 7
CAS
50%
20%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 9
SIL
8%
14%
79%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CFO
1 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
SAB
43%
21%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 5
MAN
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Villar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 3
GOD
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CFM
0 - 5
VIL
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
BET
55%
20%
25%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SCV
1 - 2
VIL
38%
21%
40%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SLP
4 - 2
VIL
47%
21%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |