Carrion vs Barruelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+323%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 0
CAR
51%
21%
27%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 2
CER
14%
16%
70%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
CAR
34%
21%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
SAL
21%
21%
57%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
UDB
3 - 3
CAR
30%
20%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barruelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 4
CAS
16%
17%
67%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 8
VIL
10%
14%
76%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
1 - 2
CDF
10%
14%
76%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UDB
2 - 2
VDB
16%
19%
66%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GRI
5 - 2
UDB
58%
18%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |