Bubal vs Loureiro CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bubal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 0
BUB
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BUB
7 - 1
SAI
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BUB
0 - 0
PSI
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
BUB
39%
22%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Loureiro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 3
VIL
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
LOU
46%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
4 - 3
BOA
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ABO
6 - 0
LOU
66%
18%
17%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 3
ROC
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |