Boecillo vs Rayo Cenobia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boecillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 4
BOE
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BOE
0 - 2
ATO
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MED
2 - 2
BOE
59%
20%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BOE
1 - 1
RAC
73%
16%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
5 - 3
BOE
48%
23%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Cenobia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 1
BET
20%
19%
60%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
RAY
56%
20%
25%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 2
ARC
41%
22%
37%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AGU
4 - 0
RAY
50%
21%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
1 - 5
UVA
10%
15%
76%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |