Betxi vs Castellnovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Betxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CDA
1 - 0
BET
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BET
2 - 1
SAG
48%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BET
0 - 1
CLU
24%
22%
55%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
BET
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BET
4 - 0
VIL
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castellnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
CLU
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
4 - 0
CAS
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
VIL
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
CAS
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 4
NUL
23%
22%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -2 |