Bernardos vs Valseca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
59.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+690%
+184%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernardos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATC
0 - 3
BER
50%
20%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
7 - 2
BER
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 0
BER
90%
7%
3%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SMM
4 - 1
BER
85%
9%
6%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
5 - 3
BER
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Valseca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 1
VAL
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 4
LAS
44%
21%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RSC
5 - 4
VAL
39%
21%
40%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
PIN
40%
23%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NOL
2 - 5
VAL
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |