Tercera División RFEF XIV - Extremadura Round 29

CD Azuaga vs Olivenza analysis

CD Azuaga Olivenza
30 ELO 28
-10.7% Tilt -12.4%
5419º General ELO ranking 11380º
194º Country ELO ranking 978º
ELO win probability
56.9%
CD Azuaga
22.6%
Draw
20.5%
Olivenza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
CD Azuaga
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
Olivenza
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Azuaga
+2%
-53%
Olivenza

Points and table prediction

CD Azuaga
Their league position
Olivenza
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
11º
53
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AD Llerenense
64
64
100%
CD Azuaga
62
62
100%
Moralo
54
55
72%
Olivenza
53
54
72%
Jerez
48
51
100%
Arroyo
46
46
100%
Trujillo
44
44
72%
Villafranca
42
43
72%
Calamonte
39
40
81.5%
UD Fuente de Cantos
10º
38
38
10º
81.5%
Pueblonuevo
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Montehermoso
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Miajadas
13º
26
27
13º
100%
CD Don Álvaro
15º
24
25
14º
100%
Plasencia
14º
24
24
15º
100%
UC La Estrella
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Azuaga
Olivenza
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Azuaga
Olivenza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Azuaga
CD Azuaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
PUE
Pueblonuevo
1 - 2
CD Azuaga
AZU
20%
23%
57%
30 21 9 0
02 Apr. 2023
AZU
CD Azuaga
3 - 0
Montehermoso
MON
76%
16%
8%
30 18 12 0
26 Mar. 2023
VIL
Villafranca
4 - 1
CD Azuaga
AZU
17%
23%
60%
32 21 11 -2
19 Mar. 2023
AZU
CD Azuaga
1 - 2
Calamonte
CAL
72%
18%
10%
33 21 12 -1
12 Mar. 2023
JER
Jerez
0 - 0
CD Azuaga
AZU
23%
25%
53%
33 24 9 0

Matches

Olivenza
Olivenza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2023
OLI
Olivenza
2 - 2
AD Llerenense
ADL
30%
24%
46%
26 33 7 0
02 Apr. 2023
UCL
UC La Estrella
1 - 2
Olivenza
OLI
17%
22%
61%
25 15 10 +1
26 Mar. 2023
OLI
Olivenza
2 - 1
Plasencia
PLA
79%
14%
7%
25 16 9 0
19 Mar. 2023
OLI
Olivenza
2 - 1
Pueblonuevo
PUE
67%
19%
14%
25 20 5 0
12 Mar. 2023
MON
Montehermoso
1 - 1
Olivenza
OLI
23%
25%
53%
25 19 6 0