CD Aurrera Vitoria vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
EIB
0 - 0
AUR
52%
27%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AUR
2 - 1
POR
20%
28%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ZAL
2 - 0
AUR
63%
24%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
AUR
0 - 1
CDU
31%
31%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUR
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
SDI
59%
24%
18%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 2
GER
44%
29%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
ELG
60%
25%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
GER
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GER
2 - 1
BRU
73%
19%
9%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |