Atletico Rafal vs Serverense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 2
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDS
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATL
34%
26%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
STA
58%
22%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
UDA
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 1
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PON
2 - 4
SER
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |