Atletico Rafal vs Algaida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 1
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 1
SPO
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
XIL
1 - 1
ATL
31%
23%
47%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
SER
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Algaida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 2
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UDA
5 - 1
ALG
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 4
CDS
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ALG
69%
18%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 0
PON
69%
17%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |