Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 7-3
Atlético Baleares vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATB
0 - 0
ZAR
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RCD
4 - 2
ATB
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
ATB
18%
25%
57%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ATB
6 - 2
COR
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
REU
1 - 0
ATB
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 0
MER
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
ATL
72%
17%
10%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
ATB
18%
25%
57%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +5 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PXD
3 - 3
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
PCE
52%
23%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |