Segunda B Play-Offs Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Atlético Baleares vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
ATB
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ATB
1 - 2
MIR
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 0
ATB
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 0
ATB
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ATB
2 - 2
HOS
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
ATB
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
EIB
0 - 0
LUG
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 0
EIB
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CDT
4 - 0
LUG
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
LEG
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |