Atlético Mengibar vs Castillo de Locubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mengibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CDA
3 - 0
UDC
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARJ
0 - 5
CDA
12%
19%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CDA
3 - 0
IBR
43%
24%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CDA
4 - 0
ADL
77%
15%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CDA
1 - 1
CLU
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CDL
2 - 2
CDA
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CDA
2 - 2
CLU
14%
20%
67%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
8 - 0
CDA
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CDA
2 - 4
CDA
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ATJ
0 - 5
CDA
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +4 |