Aspense vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
CAN
0 - 0
ASP
52%
27%
21%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
ASP
1 - 1
MON
65%
21%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
CAL
1 - 0
ASP
62%
23%
15%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
JAV
1 - 0
ASP
68%
21%
11%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
ASP
2 - 0
VIJ
43%
29%
28%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1991 |
PEG
0 - 2
JAV
28%
29%
43%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
VIJ
0 - 0
PEG
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
PEG
1 - 1
ELC
24%
28%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
OLI
0 - 0
PEG
82%
13%
5%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
PEG
0 - 1
PIN
37%
29%
33%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |