Aspense vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
CIE
2 - 1
ASP
74%
14%
12%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ASP
1 - 3
THA
74%
15%
12%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
HEL
3 - 0
ASP
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ASP
3 - 0
AGU
49%
21%
29%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
4 - 1
ASP
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
NOV
2 - 2
ALM
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
LOR
1 - 0
NOV
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
NOV
3 - 0
ALM
78%
12%
10%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
CAL
5 - 1
NOV
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
NOV
3 - 2
MIN
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |