Arces vs Rioseco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
UDS
5 - 3
ARC
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 5
UVA
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 4
ARC
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 0
VIC
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 1
AGU
16%
19%
65%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rioseco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 4
AGU
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BOE
0 - 3
RIO
26%
25%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
RIO
4 - 1
RAC
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 3
RIO
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 0
RIO
33%
24%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |