Arces vs CD San Agustin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 4
ARC
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ARC
0 - 2
VIC
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ATO
0 - 5
ARC
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
0 - 1
UVA
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 1
UNI
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Agustin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AGU
3 - 1
BET
22%
21%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 2
AGU
58%
19%
23%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
1 - 2
UDS
15%
17%
68%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
6 - 2
AGU
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
4 - 4
RUE
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |