Pref. Murcia Eliminatoria Ascenso Final
Global 1-1
CD Algar vs AD Lorqui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Algar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 2
EFL
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CDL
0 - 1
CDA
11%
18%
72%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 1
ASC
70%
17%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 2
MIN
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
CDA
31%
24%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AD Lorqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RAA
2 - 3
LOR
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
VIL
66%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CDT
0 - 2
LOR
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 0
ABA
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UMO
2 - 4
LOR
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |