CD Alfaro vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
YAG
2 - 1
ALF
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 2
UDL
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 0
RIV
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 1
ALF
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 0
SDL
10%
17%
74%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +4 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OYO
1 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
TED
40%
24%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
AGO
1 - 1
VIL
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
NAX
7 - 0
VIL
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | 0 |