CD Alfaro vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
ALF
11%
20%
69%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 0
RIV
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CDF
0 - 0
ALF
12%
20%
68%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALF
1 - 0
PRA
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
ALF
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAL
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALB
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
5 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |