CD Alfaro vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 3
ALF
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ALF
4 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
CEN
0 - 6
ALF
11%
19%
70%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ALF
5 - 1
CIU
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ALB
0 - 4
ALF
10%
21%
68%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
VAR
1 - 0
VIA
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
AGO
1 - 0
VAR
41%
27%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
VAR
0 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
RAP
0 - 1
VAR
13%
24%
64%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIV
52%
26%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |