CD Alfaro vs UD Logroñés B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
18º
15º
32
5º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 2
BEA
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
2 - 1
ALF
58%
22%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 3
TAR
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IZA
2 - 0
ALF
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 0
TUD
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
UD Logroñés B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 2
UFC
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
5 - 0
UDL
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 1
IZA
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TUD
2 - 1
UDL
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
SES
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |