CD Alfaro vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 3
ALF
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BER
1 - 2
ALF
33%
24%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
COM
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AGO
0 - 2
ALF
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ALF
0 - 1
ANG
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CDF
3 - 1
VIA
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
CDF
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CDF
1 - 2
ANG
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BER
0 - 5
CDF
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CDF
1 - 3
ARN
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |