CD Alfaro vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 5
ALF
5%
13%
82%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 2
SMC
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ANG
0 - 1
ALF
14%
19%
68%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 0
VAR
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BER
0 - 8
ALF
5%
14%
81%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SMC
3 - 1
CDF
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDF
2 - 6
VAR
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 0
CDF
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 3
AGO
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARN
4 - 0
CDF
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |