CD Alfaro vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALF
6%
14%
80%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
5 - 0
VIL
84%
12%
4%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
AGO
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIA
2 - 1
ALF
8%
16%
76%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 3
HAR
5%
13%
82%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
4 - 1
ARN
88%
9%
3%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
2 - 1
CDF
60%
23%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ARN
0 - 1
CAL
72%
19%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARN
38%
25%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |