Alfarense vs Bugarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 4
ALF
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 3
RUM
41%
23%
37%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ELI
1 - 0
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 4
FOI
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GOD
4 - 1
ALF
82%
11%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
BUG
2 - 0
BEN
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
2 - 2
BUG
41%
21%
38%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BUG
1 - 3
RIB
46%
21%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PED
1 - 2
BUG
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BUG
2 - 2
TUR
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |