A. Castellae vs CD Raudense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
59.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Castellae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
ALB
71%
16%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ALB
6 - 1
CER
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
INT
2 - 4
ALB
48%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
BEL
47%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 1
ALB
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Raudense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CDR
2 - 1
MON
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CDR
4 - 0
FEL
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
CDR
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CDR
1 - 0
CER
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
INT
3 - 4
CDR
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |