Cd Aguilar vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cd Aguilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 0
CDA
72%
20%
8%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CDA
1 - 0
NOR
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 0
CDA
70%
19%
12%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CDA
4 - 0
LEO
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
BEC
1 - 1
CDA
74%
17%
10%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AST
0 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
AVI
5 - 0
AST
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 1
AST
68%
21%
11%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
AST
1 - 0
NOR
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
NUM
3 - 1
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |