Cayón vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PON
0 - 1
CAY
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAY
2 - 1
RAY
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAY
31%
26%
44%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAY
4 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
CAY
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 1
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NOJ
3 - 1
ESC
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ESC
2 - 1
BUE
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 0
ESC
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ESC
4 - 1
ARE
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |