Caxias do Sul vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
4 - 0
CAX
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 2
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
CAX
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 1
DUQ
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAX
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TUP
2 - 1
MAD
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 1
MAC
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TUP
1 - 0
CHA
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OES
1 - 0
TUP
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |