Caxias do Sul vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
AVA
1 - 3
CAX
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
CAX
1 - 1
AVA
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
CRZ
5 - 0
CAX
90%
8%
2%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1999 |
CAX
3 - 2
CRZ
11%
23%
67%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1991 |
GOI
2 - 0
CAX
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
VIL
0 - 0
SER
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
SER
3 - 2
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
PPE
5 - 2
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1999 |
SER
2 - 0
PPE
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1997 |
SER
3 - 5
VAS
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |