Caxias do Sul vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 0
CAX
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
CAX
4 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
CAX
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
CAX
3 - 0
JEC
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
ITU
1 - 0
CAX
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
CEA
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAU
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
PAU
1 - 0
SAO
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
PAU
3 - 1
MOG
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
REM
2 - 2
PAU
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |