Caxias do Sul vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
INT
0 - 3
CAX
30%
30%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CAX
2 - 2
ECA
58%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ECA
1 - 1
CAX
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 1
CAX
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CAX
1 - 1
SLU
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 0
MIR
66%
22%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 1
PPE
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 2
MIR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
PPE
2 - 0
MIR
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |