Gaucho 2 Group B Round 5

Caxias do Sul vs Marau analysis

Caxias do Sul Marau
50 ELO 34
-6.3% Tilt -12.9%
1520º General ELO ranking 30401º
55º Country ELO ranking 981º
ELO win probability
69.2%
Caxias do Sul
19.1%
Draw
11.7%
Marau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
Caxias do Sul
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.7%
Win probability
Marau
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Caxias do Sul
Marau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caxias do Sul
Caxias do Sul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2016
SLU
São Luiz
1 - 0
Caxias do Sul
CAX
40%
27%
33%
50 48 2 0
19 Mar. 2016
CAX
Caxias do Sul
4 - 2
Panambi
PAN
66%
21%
13%
50 36 14 0
17 Mar. 2016
ESP
Esportivo BG
0 - 2
Caxias do Sul
CAX
36%
27%
37%
49 44 5 +1
12 Mar. 2016
CAX
Caxias do Sul
3 - 0
União RS
URS
52%
25%
23%
48 44 4 +1
27 Sep. 2015
GUA
Guaraní
5 - 3
Caxias do Sul
CAX
66%
22%
13%
49 59 10 -1

Matches

Marau
Marau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2016
MFC
Marau
1 - 0
Santo Ângelo
SAN
35%
24%
42%
33 40 7 0
17 Mar. 2016
PAN
Panambi
3 - 0
Marau
MFC
45%
23%
32%
34 34 0 -1
13 Mar. 2016
MFC
Marau
1 - 1
Esportivo BG
ESP
26%
24%
50%
34 45 11 0
06 Aug. 2015
MFC
Marau
2 - 4
Lajeadense
LAJ
22%
24%
54%
36 53 17 -2
11 Sep. 2014
MFC
Marau
0 - 1
Internacional
SCI
9%
19%
72%
36 83 47 0