Caxias Joinville FC vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAX
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1978 |
VAS
4 - 1
CAX
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
BRA
0 - 1
CAX
34%
29%
38%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
COT
2 - 0
CAX
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1978 |
CAX
2 - 1
LON
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
COT
2 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1978 |
SAO
4 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
VAS
2 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
VIL
1 - 0
USC
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |