Cavaly vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
33.1%
Draw
0-0
17.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.1%
27.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIO
0 - 1
CAV
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
CAP
3 - 0
CAV
49%
30%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 1
CAP
39%
33%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAV
46%
30%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIC
37%
32%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
FIC
32%
31%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 1
ASM
44%
32%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 0
FIC
31%
32%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GON
0 - 1
ASM
37%
32%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ASM
0 - 0
CAV
34%
33%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |