Cavalry vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
6º
4º
11
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 53 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 46 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
12 | 44 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 29 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 27 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 26 |
8º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
34.5% | 2% |
|
Play-offs
|
30% | 6% |
|
Next round
|
32% | 52% |
|
Eliminated
|
3.5% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 1
CAV
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 2
VAN
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 1
VAN
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 0
PAC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 0
VAN
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
YOR
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 0
VAN
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 21 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 3
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |