Premier League Canadá Normal Season Round 27

Cavalry vs Valour analysis

Cavalry Valour
76 ELO 64
-4.9% Tilt 4.6%
1242º General ELO ranking 2180º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
63.1%
Cavalry
22.3%
Draw
14.6%
Valour

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
Cavalry
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.6%
Win probability
Valour
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cavalry
+3%
-25%
Valour

Points and table prediction

Cavalry
Their league position
Valour
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
26
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cavalry
55
55
100%
Forge
42
42
0%
HFX Wanderers
42
42
0%
Pacific
40
40
100%
York United
38
38
100%
Atlético Ottawa
36
36
100%
Vancouver FC
29
29
100%
Valour
26
26
100%
Expected probabilities
Cavalry
Valour
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Cavalry
Valour
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cavalry
Cavalry
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2023
YOR
York United
0 - 1
Cavalry
CAV
27%
26%
47%
75 66 9 0
16 Sep. 2023
CAV
Cavalry
2 - 1
Vancouver FC
VAN
70%
20%
10%
75 18 57 0
13 Sep. 2023
HFX
HFX Wanderers
1 - 2
Cavalry
CAV
30%
27%
43%
75 68 7 0
10 Sep. 2023
FOR
Forge
0 - 0
Cavalry
CAV
42%
26%
32%
75 74 1 0
03 Sep. 2023
ATO
Atlético Ottawa
1 - 2
Cavalry
CAV
38%
27%
35%
74 72 2 +1

Matches

Valour
Valour
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
ATO
Atlético Ottawa
0 - 1
Valour
VAL
54%
25%
21%
64 71 7 0
21 Sep. 2023
VAL
Valour
0 - 1
Vancouver FC
VAN
81%
14%
6%
64 18 46 0
17 Sep. 2023
VAL
Valour
2 - 3
Forge
FOR
29%
28%
43%
64 74 10 0
09 Sep. 2023
YOR
York United
1 - 3
Valour
VAL
52%
25%
23%
63 67 4 +1
02 Sep. 2023
PAC
Pacific
2 - 1
Valour
VAL
65%
21%
15%
64 73 9 -1