Caucaia EC vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
3 - 1
CAU
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 4
TRE
25%
26%
50%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -3 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
7 - 0
CAU
68%
20%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 2
ABC
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 2
ARN
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 2
ARN
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ARN
4 - 1
SOU
54%
23%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
7 - 0
CAU
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 1
SOU
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |