Caucaia EC vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.3%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
89.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
14.8%
0-5
7.1%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
-5
8.9%
0-6
3.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAU
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
FER
14%
19%
68%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
FOR
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 2
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |