Baiano 1 Round 5

Catuense vs SD Juazeirense analysis

Catuense SD Juazeirense
48 ELO 49
-5.6% Tilt -3%
28192º General ELO ranking 4021º
829º Country ELO ranking 119º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Catuense
25.3%
Draw
41.1%
SD Juazeirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Catuense
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.1%
Win probability
SD Juazeirense
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Catuense
SD Juazeirense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catuense
Catuense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2015
BAH
Bahía
2 - 0
Catuense
CAT
74%
19%
7%
46 74 28 0
21 Feb. 2015
CAT
Catuense
3 - 1
Serrano SC
SER
44%
26%
30%
44 47 3 +2
08 Feb. 2015
BAH
Bahia de Feira
2 - 1
Catuense
CAT
55%
24%
21%
45 53 8 -1
31 Jan. 2015
CAT
Catuense
0 - 0
Colo Colo BA
COL
42%
27%
32%
45 49 4 0
23 Nov. 2014
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
1 - 0
Catuense
CAT
48%
25%
27%
46 47 1 -1

Matches

SD Juazeirense
SD Juazeirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2015
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
0 - 0
Jacobina
JEC
45%
26%
29%
51 49 2 0
22 Feb. 2015
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
1 - 1
SD Juazeirense
SDJ
42%
25%
33%
51 51 0 0
08 Feb. 2015
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
1 - 0
Feirense FC
FEI
57%
24%
19%
50 41 9 +1
31 Jan. 2015
JAC
Jacuipense
1 - 2
SD Juazeirense
SDJ
38%
24%
37%
50 48 2 0
23 Mar. 2014
SDJ
SD Juazeirense
2 - 2
Galicia EC
GAL
30%
26%
43%
50 55 5 0