Catuense vs Camaçariense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 4
CAT
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
2 - 0
ALA
75%
15%
9%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
1 - 2
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
4 - 3
JUA
73%
16%
10%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
IPI
4 - 2
CAT
21%
22%
56%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Camaçariense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 0
POC
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CAM
0 - 4
BAH
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
COL
3 - 1
CAM
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 2
CAM
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
CFC
2 - 0
CAM
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |