U17 National Championship Italy Group C Round 16

Catanzaro U17 vs Lecce U17 analysis

Catanzaro U17 Lecce U17
17 ELO 28
-9.3% Tilt -3%
10849º General ELO ranking 9523º
371º Country ELO ranking 347º
ELO win probability
13%
Catanzaro U17
17.2%
Draw
69.8%
Lecce U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
Catanzaro U17
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
69.8%
Win probability
Lecce U17
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Catanzaro U17
-9%
-27%
Lecce U17

Points and table prediction

Catanzaro U17
Their league position
Lecce U17
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
20
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fiorentina U17
64
64
100%
Empoli U17
58
58
100%
Roma U17
56
56
100%
Lazio U17
37
37
0%
Frosinone U17
37
37
0%
Palermo U17
35
35
100%
Salernitana U17
33
33
100%
SSC Bari U17
32
32
100%
Catanzaro U17
21
21
100%
Lecce U17
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Ascoli U17
11º
19
19
11º
100%
Nuova Cosenza U17
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Ternana Calcio U17
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
Catanzaro U17
Lecce U17
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Catanzaro U17
Lecce U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Catanzaro U17
Catanzaro U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
ASC
Ascoli U17
3 - 1
Catanzaro U17
FCC
48%
21%
31%
16 16 0 0
14 Jan. 2024
FCC
Catanzaro U17
0 - 1
Roma U17
ROM
6%
11%
83%
17 49 32 -1
10 Dec. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro U17
1 - 1
Fiorentina U17
FIO
8%
13%
79%
13 45 32 +4
03 Dec. 2023
LAZ
Lazio U17
4 - 0
Catanzaro U17
FCC
88%
8%
4%
14 39 25 -1
19 Nov. 2023
FCC
Catanzaro U17
1 - 0
Salernitana U17
SAL
26%
21%
53%
13 17 4 +1

Matches

Lecce U17
Lecce U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
LCC
Lecce U17
3 - 1
Fiorentina U17
FIO
8%
15%
77%
24 46 22 0
14 Jan. 2024
LAZ
Lazio U17
4 - 2
Lecce U17
LCC
82%
12%
7%
24 38 14 0
17 Dec. 2023
SAL
Salernitana U17
1 - 4
Lecce U17
LCC
16%
20%
64%
23 16 7 +1
10 Dec. 2023
LCC
Lecce U17
0 - 1
Ternana Calcio U17
TER
70%
18%
12%
24 18 6 -1
03 Dec. 2023
FRO
Frosinone U17
2 - 2
Lecce U17
LCC
40%
23%
37%
24 22 2 0