Catania vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAG
2 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCS
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 2
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAT
4 - 1
ROM
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
GEN
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
USA
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
VIR
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
CTT
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |