Catania vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
19%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
15%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAT
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
CAT
61%
25%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
SSS
54%
29%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
PRG
2 - 2
CAT
48%
31%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAR
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
PAR
1 - 3
PIS
40%
29%
31%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
TAR
2 - 1
PAR
50%
31%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRG
50%
29%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAR
61%
26%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |