Catania vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
UDI
1 - 1
CAT
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 3
SIE
51%
27%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 4
CAT
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
CAT
2 - 0
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LAZ
0 - 3
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
LAZ
2 - 1
JUV
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LAZ
2 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 2
LAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |