Catania vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
PAR
2 - 1
CAT
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
VER
3 - 2
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
CAT
2 - 0
BRE
59%
22%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
CAT
0 - 0
SSS
71%
17%
11%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAT
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
COM
2 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
COM
3 - 1
TAR
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
CAG
3 - 0
COM
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
COM
0 - 2
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |